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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.81 seconds per play.

Javonte Williams's 45.8% Route% this season represents a meaningful growth in his pass game utilization over last season's 29.4% rate.

The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to earn 3.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.

Javonte Williams has totaled a monstrous 0.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among RBs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

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