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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

At a mere 27.51 seconds per play, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-quickest paced in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to earn 3.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Javonte Williams has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 10.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-fewest in the league.

Javonte Williams has posted a feeble -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 4th percentile among RBs.

Javonte Williams checks in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging a mere 4.16 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 7th percentile.

With a feeble 6.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Javonte Williams ranks among the best pass-game RBs in football in space.

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