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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

Javonte Williams has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (45.6% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.4%).

In this contest, Javonte Williams is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. running backs this year, giving up 5.22 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a puny 4.8 YAC.

The Falcons linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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