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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game.

The Broncos have been the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

Javonte Williams has run more routes this year (47.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (29.4%).

The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to earn 4.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs defense has conceded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) versus running backs this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency against running backs this year, surrendering 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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