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Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4.5-point underdogs.The model projects Javonte Williams to earn 3.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.With a high 12.6% Target Share (90th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams stands as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.The Seattle Seahawks defense has been gouged for the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (35.0) versus running backs last year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 125.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos last year (just 54.8 per game on average).In regards to air yards, Javonte Williams grades out in just the 4th percentile among running backs last year, accruing just -6.0 per game.With a poor 4.3 adjusted yards per target (5th percentile) last year, Javonte Williams stands among the bottom pass-catching RBs in the NFL.
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