Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to garner 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Javonte Williams has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 16.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed bad efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, yielding 6.40 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.6% to 71.3%.
Javonte Williams's receiving efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a measly 2.34 yards-per-target compared to a 3.65 figure last year.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.26 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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