Javonte Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to accrue 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.

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