Javonte Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to total 15.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Javonte Williams has earned 62.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.
The projections expect the Cowboys to be the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Texans defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.