Javonte Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-123/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.4 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to accumulate 14.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Among all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 91st percentile for carries this year, comprising 61.5% of the workload in his team's run game.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's DE corps has been terrible since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run on 37.6% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are projected by the predictive model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.