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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.28 seconds per snap.

Among all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 80th percentile for carries this year, comprising 44.9% of the workload in his offense's run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a giant 9-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to run on 40.2% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The Baltimore defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best DT corps in the league this year with their run defense.

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