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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to earn 14.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • Javonte Williams has garnered 49.2% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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