Jauan Jennings Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Touchdowns

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 7, 2026 2:18 PM EST

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+682/-968).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3477 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -968.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling with backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% red zone pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
After accruing 61.0 air yards per game last season, Jauan Jennings has posted significant losses this season, now boasting 19.0 per game.
Jauan Jennings's 15.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 47.2.
Jauan Jennings's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.1% to 57.4%.

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