Jauan Jennings Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-770).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (62.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Vikings.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
Favors Under
The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
After averaging 61.0 air yards per game last year, Jauan Jennings has seen a big downtick this year, currently boasting 18.0 per game.