Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+123/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -3477 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the model to run 65.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
While Jauan Jennings has accounted for 18.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Minnesota's passing attack in this week's game at 9.0%.
Jauan Jennings has received a massive 23.2% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile among wide receivers.
The Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

With a 56.9% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the Minnesota Vikings.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
With a poor 0.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (15th percentile) since the start of last season, Jauan Jennings has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
This year, the tough New Orleans Saints defense has given up a paltry 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Saints pass defense has conceded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a puny 0.5 YAC.