Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jauan Jennings has notched a colossal 59.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile among WRs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.56 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call only 60.3 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (just 51.6 per game on average).
The Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions this week.
While Jauan Jennings has accounted for 18.7% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Minnesota's passing offense in this week's game at 9.5%.

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