Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jauan Jennings

NFL · Player Props

Jauan Jennings

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 22, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game effectiveness when facing better conditions in this week's contest.
Jauan Jennings has been among the best WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 84th percentile.
The New York Giants defense has given up the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (148.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
The New York Giants cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a giant 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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