Jarvis Landry Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jarvis Landry

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving TD

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Jarvis Landry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-395).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +256 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +245.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
Jarvis Landry has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Jarvis Landry has accrued a whopping 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.2%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (61.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 6th-least TDs through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.78 per game since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.