Jared Goff Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 12:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1329/-1567).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.66 seconds per play.
In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.
With a fantastic 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Jared Goff places among the best precision passers in the league.
Jared Goff has been among the top touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 2.14 per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
Jared Goff has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in football among quarterbacks (3rd percentile).

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite in this game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.

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