Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+953/-1150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 136.4 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
In this contest, Jared Goff is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 40.3.
Favors Under
The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 7th-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.17 per game this year.
This year, the porous Green Bay Packers run defense has surrendered a massive 1.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.