Jared Goff Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 1:12 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1776/-2579).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Sitting at zero red zone carries this year, Jared Goff's lack of mobility marks him as a no threat with his legs near the end zone.
Jared Goff has been one of the top TD throwers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 1.90 per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
The rushing touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Jared Goff's trading card since the start of last season.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the porous Jets run defense has allowed a whopping 1.05 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 9th-highest rate in the league.

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