Jared Goff Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 11, 2026 9:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1734/-2651).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 60.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most out of all QBs.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
The New England defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in the league this year with their run defense.

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