Jared Goff TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

TD Passes

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 36.2 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 51.8% red zone pass rate.

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