My Account Log Out

reorder

Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 55.3%.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

More Jared Goff Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™