My Account Log Out

reorder

Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the league against the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season (71.7%).

The Washington Commanders defense has allowed the 2nd-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.89 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 54.8% red zone pass rate.

Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 54.0%.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

More Jared Goff Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™