Jared Goff TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

TD Passes

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
Jared Goff has been among the leading touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 1.73 per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.1%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 8th-least touchdowns through the air in the league: 1.20 per game this year.

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