My Account Log Out

reorder

Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Jared Goff has been among the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 1.75 per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league against the Chicago Bears defense this year (72.8%).

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Jared Goff's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 66.2% to 63.0%.

More Jared Goff Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™