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Jared Goff

Jared Goff TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jared Goff TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -143.
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile among QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (74.3%).
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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