Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 45.2% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

This week, Jared Goff is projected by the projections to accrue the 3rd-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.9.
Taking on just 4.3% of his team's carries this year (20th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's lack of speed makes him no threat on the ground.
Jared Goff has generated a mere 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among QBs (14th percentile).
With an atrocious record of 3.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (17th percentile), Jared Goff has been among the bottom rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.
This year, the fierce Buccaneers run defense has given up a meager 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 10th-fewest in football.

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