Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 9th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
In regards to run-blocking (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 5th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Jared Goff to total 1.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.
Comprising a mere 3.5% of his team's run game usage this year (13th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jared Goff's one-dimensionality makes him no threat on the ground.
With a dreadful record of 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (8th percentile), Jared Goff rates among the worst running quarterbacks in football this year.
Jared Goff's rushing efficiency (3.32 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (19th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).

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