My Account Log Out

reorder

Jared Goff

Jared Goff Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.63 seconds per snap.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (7.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to accrue 2.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.

The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Jared Goff Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™