Jared Goff Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-most run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (6.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.7% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to garner 1.8 carries in this contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Jared Goff has grinded out a mere 4.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among quarterbacks (14th percentile).
Jared Goff's rushing efficiency has tailed off this year, notching just 3.39 yards-per-carry vs a 4.45 figure last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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