Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 285.5 (-104/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -1150 before it was bet up to 285.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (a colossal 62.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The model projects Jared Goff to throw 37.3 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.0 per game) this year.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Cardinals defense has conceded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a meager 0.6 YAC.

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