Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 1:12 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 258.5 (-111/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 299.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 258.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jared Goff has attempted 32.9 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile among QBs.
Jared Goff is positioned as one of the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 244.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the porous New York Jets defense has allowed the 9th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a colossal 7.93 yards.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Jets defense has given up the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a mere 0.3 YAC.
The Jets cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.