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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Jared Goff's 68.4% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a a remarkable progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 65.1% figure.

With a terrific 7.48 adjusted yards-per-target (79th percentile) this year, Jared Goff ranks among the most effective quarterbacks in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) this year.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 5th-fewest yards in the league (just 188.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

The Carolina Panthers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.01 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the NFL.

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