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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 259.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Lions have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 37.2 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.

The Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4 points.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.4% pass rate.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Saints, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.7 per game) this year.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in football (just 209.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Saints defense this year.

This year, the tough Saints defense has allowed a meager 64.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

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