Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 274.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 276.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 274.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Jared Goff to throw 36.2 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.

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