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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 257.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 255.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 37.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.

Jared Goff has thrown for many more yards per game (263.0) this season than he did last season (229.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Jared Goff's passing precision has diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 66.2% to 63.2%.

The Miami Dolphins defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.99 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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