Jared Goff Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 232.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 232.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 3rd-most yards in football (262.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.22 yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.
Jared Goff's throwing accuracy has declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 54.0%.
Jared Goff has been among the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 6.44 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 16th percentile.
The Washington Commanders defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.40 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.