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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile among QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (74.3%).
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jared Goff has been among the least effective quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 6.46 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 16th percentile.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.21 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in football.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.51 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in the league.

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