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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.

The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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