Jared Goff Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Pass Attempts

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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