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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 37.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
  • Jared Goff has thrown 0.98 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 17th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on a measly 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (6th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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