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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Interceptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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