Jared Goff Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Interceptions

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.
The Washington Commanders linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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