Jared Goff Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Interceptions

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
The Green Bay Packers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jared Goff has thrown just 0.46 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Green Bay Packers have intercepted 1.03 targets per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-best defense in the NFL by this stat.

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