Jared Goff Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Interceptions

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Jared Goff has averaged a mere 0.49 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks.

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