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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The New York Jets have intercepted 0.81 balls per game this year, ranking as the 9th-best defense in the NFL by this stat.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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