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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jared Goff Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Jared Goff has totaled 0.88 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile among QBs.
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have intercepted 1.10 passes per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-best defense in the NFL by this standard.

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