Jared Goff Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Completions

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+136/-181).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -181.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants linebackers project as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.
The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the league vs. the New York Giants defense this year (65.1%).

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