Jared Goff Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 12:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's DT corps has been atrocious last year, ranking as the 10th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
In this contest, Jared Goff is expected by the projections to earn the 2nd-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 1.8.
Jared Goff is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a mere 2.8% of his team's rush attempts last year, ranking him in the 5th percentile when it comes to QBs.

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