Jared Goff Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jared Goff

NFL · Player Props

Jared Goff

QB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 2:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 45.2% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of DEs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Right now, the 4th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Lions.
This week, Jared Goff is projected by the projections to accrue the 5th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.9.
Taking on just 4.3% of his team's carries this year (20th percentile among quarterbacks), Jared Goff's lack of speed makes him no threat on the ground.

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